Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:15:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:16:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
27% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 49.38
Unexplained QUAI: 135.17
Explained QI: 238.68
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
3.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
2
25.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
184.54 QUAI
238.68 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 185 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
238.68 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
238.68 QI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
49.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
184.54 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:15:14 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:14:02 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
49.38 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:16:26 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:12:50 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate5 tx
231.42 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:11:38 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
173.1 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:17:37 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:18:48 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
152.48 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:10:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
238.68 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:15:26 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
49.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:15:39 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x001b00278f85b4d80895dabc996286b2623aeac731091d8118c1509f23609e97
238.68 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:15:26 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003b00206e7d5102378d28500d9292cf5c2085a78eda54ce0a00fc4222668a92