Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:09:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,643.91
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 502.56
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
1.4x previous minute
9.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
1,491.43 QUAI
502.56 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1491 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,461.01 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
Net sender
Unknown type
1,019.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
502.56 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
502.56 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
152.48 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 502.56 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,461.01 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
1,491.43 QUAI • 26 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:09:15 P.M.
-1 min
31 tx
1,090.65 QUAI • 47 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:08:03 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
152.48 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:10:26 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
31.39 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:06:51 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
65.74 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:05:39 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
231.42 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:11:38 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:12:50 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate50 tx
1,993.68 QUAI • 64 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:04:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,019.86 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:02 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
250.08 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:41 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003f007d7ccfee09168d55d2fe83f2e90504cd9bed30a7eb0f72b59125f161d7
252.47 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:23 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00680061d9dd32f815f3ff76ae0e45d6159ef00a6a8b1d17532467f4437cecb7
152.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:21 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0023004fc4619141a4965315e71f33765c5da86f8e6dfcac39ec97c5893a33f9
30.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:02 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0073004599aa059510e1904e33b5680cfd55f11af2e418c71b1f73c0341a266f
106.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:02 P.M.
From: 0x0052Ec5b0c17f72a92c1B12F8276443D917D3900
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620064bb959ed0dd42b5382d9b036bb2f093e54e71323bcb294a0520ebded2
100.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:02 P.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002700342988e951884e666fe176c49b90c73f0215e578f00ef4abddcbf93ab0
112.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:02 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002500024343ed0218ff29bce679051a2f950370206213f7204672d61a1ff709
121.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:02 P.M.
From: 0x000a7d40a2081e7aFf84360a746784665280Ca58
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001500398b7c75f0e258d9410d7feb7bff47b0a8b19173022dafa1c649a2cc26
1,019.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:09:02 P.M.
From: 0x0035478Baf1fff4F38eBf72eC9767603595A8FEE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0079000e016abe4b61ba31e3147b59b3865599375356e6be4e995f23d6fe4f51