Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 9:32:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 9:32:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 9:33:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
26% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 193
Unexplained QUAI: 562.71
Explained QI: 240.88
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
7.7x previous minute
3.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
755.71 QUAI
240.88 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 756 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 9:32:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
240.89 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
240.89 QI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
148.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
148.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
44.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
755.71 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:32:09 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
98 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:30:58 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
193 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:33:20 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:29:46 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
255.05 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:28:35 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:34:32 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
29.81 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:35:43 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate1 tx
879.55 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:27:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
240.88 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:12 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
148.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:38 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0028006f94b628f96b6cb55d7fd715aa93e876be672e0c2e4e17c048f4a7358a
44.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:38 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0051002c4b8873b9d2bfd746530aee082ee6e0a67bce9af6076ec4c84c3b2110
240.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:32:12 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00190041fe7b0738eaae53c416f85b41c93c9c0d9059a41be8c5fd980f33009f
