Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 9:19:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 9:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,497.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 691.97
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
691.97 QI
Avg confidence
74.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007c56Ce2c56D1971edDB0fa262EE43718639536 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007c56Ce2c56D1971edDB0fa262EE43718639536 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007c56Ce2c56D1971edDB0fa262EE43718639536
Net sender
Unknown type
8,398.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,398.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0073Ab3ad21Ae3246f15fB19d6D312a7f014F79d
Net sender
Unknown type
880.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
Net receiver
Unknown type
880.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
691.98 QI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 691.97 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:19:00 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
8,688.28 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:17:48 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
9,497.61 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:20:11 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:16:36 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
425.86 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:21:23 P.M.
-4 min
8 tx
685.04 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:15:24 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
51.71 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:22:35 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
200 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:14:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
8,398.03 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:19:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007c56Ce2c56D1971edDB0fa262EE43718639536
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
223.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:19:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0024005826d72c05d98b99f041b162db24f225ebdd958e42744d5adb25bb07de
223.46 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:19:53 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0007003f4a2c56d889c685a2129ec81ff0a2b9150cf0deddcf70decda6dd6d87
880.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:19:46 P.M.
From: 0x0073Ab3ad21Ae3246f15fB19d6D312a7f014F79d
To: 0x003e67574363DAffcB70AF7Ae24e1DEBde68D1b1
Tx: 0x00340031349eb5b87efb303c6e27b83df6a354c1bb6f6cbf50b8b4b6cbfbfba0
245.04 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:19:30 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003c005c4c359bd2993708db03ab72663939ea3ed6d699582a97b003498ff261
62.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:19:30 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x005f005b7f2bac5cad1af5a0acd3289e34d9788629d6adfd099acafc4745f7d4
157.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:19:30 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00740061d33b68a0c93a8036c70fbdd6acfa7af74a00fd69c9148a0468b72660
8,398.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:19:30 P.M.
From: 0x007c56Ce2c56D1971edDB0fa262EE43718639536
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x001300094de7ffd85d3ff93e07fb5a35bc000076cef705c240cc5c9fc5b45e98