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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 9:17:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 9:18:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

98% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 8,484

Unexplained QUAI: 204.28

Explained QI: 688.15

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume

Relative context

3.5x above local average

13x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

83.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

8,688.28 QUAI

688.15 QI

Avg confidence

80.0%

Dominant source: etx-type

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x001a7cF48F35186416C40B7Dd6A2e233F19fF5Ae • 0x007c56Ce2c56D1971edDB0fa262EE43718639536.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 8688 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x001a7cF48F35186416C40B7Dd6A2e233F19fF5Ae • 0x007c56Ce2c56D1971edDB0fa262EE43718639536.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: etx-type

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source etx-type

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/18/2026, 9:17:00 P.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x001a7cF48F35186416C40B7Dd6A2e233F19fF5Ae

Net sender

Unknown type

8,484 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007c56Ce2c56D1971edDB0fa262EE43718639536

Net receiver

Unknown type

8,400 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

688.16 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

688.16 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103

Net receiver

Unknown type

84 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

3 repeated flows • 688.15 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.