Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 9:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 9:09:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 9:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,368.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 429.33
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 40% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
9
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
0 QUAI
429.33 QI
Avg confidence
68.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 9:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
824.49 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net sender
Unknown type
543.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0003E89A4fEd9b2eF2E0C3E490076d25462D6349
Net receiver
Unknown type
543.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
429.33 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
429.33 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 429.33 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 824.49 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:09:25 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:08:13 P.M.
-2 min
25 tx
843 QUAI • 40 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:07:02 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate9 tx
1,368.44 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:10:37 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:05:49 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
278.05 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:11:50 P.M.
-4 min
52 tx
926.12 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:04:37 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
122.35 QUAI • 5 addresses
09/18/2026, 9:13:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
543.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0003E89A4fEd9b2eF2E0C3E490076d25462D6349
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
214.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005d0007d277a9820fbfc8a4519a5484d9c6547659a7ceb16d8683cdd6bb0ca8
214.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:52 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00220048edfedc4b22061132dbb5565c3ee2c0eb5047e4cfc1f06aa55118bf30
543.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
To: 0x0003E89A4fEd9b2eF2E0C3E490076d25462D6349
Tx: 0x004f006685d354ecfeb22a7989844acf6e81ecb9ff26192d4f45b3b32a9ec3a3
220.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002300334f672ee1efdd01d79cc84058c5342974f9823292820301dae8951793
133.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0011002c536667f510356316f861568c876c11a1e40991b85054a0422d50f6ec
125.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00590005387b67f29889a8e24c0c09641caf965445eb87e43f4b688dee96afa8
102.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b0079643c2f402de1bac3d4792a09f7fde6b739be401cc44976d75506e2aa
110.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x0019F9b43cb6f2Ff7b0fFC61C0F0976b3ca1D23e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00450075e94d10c462712f892bbd7bfde299cfc694b6bd3ee4ffac3874b503f3
132.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 9:09:36 P.M.
From: 0x000027730178c2C1bDfa5FE22ecb72Fe3cE765c2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0063005d7be13cbbcf37e092141d6ee6f3e5dc39d034fc3110e744a070c17d5a