Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:51:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:51:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:52:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
37% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 124.5
Unexplained QUAI: 211.67
Explained QI: 702.28
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.0x above local average
1.5x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
4
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
336.17 QUAI
702.28 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 336 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:51:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (63% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (37%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
702.29 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
702.29 QI across 3 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
124.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
124.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 702.28 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
336.17 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:51:12 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
221.24 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:49:58 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:52:25 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:48:45 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:47:34 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
209.98 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:53:38 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
254.79 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:54:51 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate5 tx
341.66 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:46:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
252.67 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:31 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
252.67 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:31 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0016000e875fa5d19eb11f869feec761a8ee7377b0cd60cf473283642e7bce61
124.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:05 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x007e00581b7afd96dbb949526484a11f04006e2fc7a3f18f33956064556bd8a6
224.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007a00552d188f43cb65dadc3cac45e3b016d6c7b02b1950b25f2f7988f2f190
224.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:51:03 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0001006a57afaf5a562011d035624a5ad64f2db65796dc3dd074e903c2c2cb42