Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:39:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:40:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
30% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 61.19
Unexplained QUAI: 139.92
Explained QI: 431.97
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x previous minute
3.3x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
201.12 QUAI
431.97 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 201 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (70% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (30%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
433.98 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
433.98 QI across 3 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
61.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
61.19 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 431.97 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
201.12 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:39:08 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
194.39 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:37:56 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
61.19 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:40:20 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
66.8 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:36:45 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:35:33 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
1,110.63 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:41:31 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate6 tx
1,751.4 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:42:43 P.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:34:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
215.98 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:39:44 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
215.98 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:39:44 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006d001327fb935b17a5f8f8931dcf589e6c92d6dc5bef10659d1389d74449a5
215.98 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:39:44 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005400620e36a037a5071b437d553866d7cdf59de285862f9401f6365a868e82
2 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:39:44 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007a007b56c042a678312c95668e186da2b1e6fdaae69f706dfe966bb87bb190
61.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:39:37 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006e00625d6c4a57d52417af191639a998720c124d0ba1924b49b8b486b8d22f