Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:23:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,822.41
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 441.19
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
2.4x above local average
12x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
1,383.1 QUAI
441.19 QI
Avg confidence
69.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 1383 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
2,716 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,716 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
441.19 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
441.19 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
57.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 441.19 QI
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba → 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
2 repeated flows • 2,716 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
118.71 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:22:17 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
1,383.1 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:23:30 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
50 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:21:06 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,678.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:24:43 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
650.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:19:54 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
234.73 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:25:54 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
35.71 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:18:42 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
373.92 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:27:06 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,454 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
1,454 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:54 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001500784ff08a7900b8c41c4fdeab14c0480190614f63b97fd1c8e0f1de61d6
220.59 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:30 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0033000ff1d987eacf5cdd852a4af6bc306e3f4362dbc30047934fd4f13664b9
220.59 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:30 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0069001b2dbd531849de01f9cca2ec4591aa67b00db4c24609427c38c30c623d
57.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:15 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x004f006f4b28008a8a951121dd4ec661621d05eb4a0e8d85c51004cb4e7cf0d6
2.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:15 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00230012a0949a25b6dafbaf9865a65ad040ecad13ee5e5a248b7b161dcd6d7a
4.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:15 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0051007d3df43d8717cde1dbe0492666bbb8e64b70de19c90905dbe78c6bfa8b
41.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:15 P.M.
From: 0x00231A7719a6fCA71b675eb8a7dF3da4356E0785
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0032000941e740d4857c457ecb2e4f77804160a0ab706e4a6ca77b24c26c584c
1,262 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:23:15 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x000900419d1b3a79c2cc838c0b6b118cf6860e5723c859d9bf69f0039eb74e09
