Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:22:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
12% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14.69
Unexplained QUAI: 104.02
Explained QI: 743.62
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
2.4x previous minute
0.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
118.71 QUAI
743.62 QI
Avg confidence
84.5%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 119 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
743.62 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
743.62 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
14.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
14.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 743.62 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
118.71 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:22:17 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
50 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:21:06 P.M.
-2 min
7 tx
650.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:19:54 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
1,383.1 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:23:30 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
35.71 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:18:42 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,678.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:24:43 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
190.38 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:17:31 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
234.73 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:25:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
249.69 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:22:46 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
247.36 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:22:58 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007a003aaa1c2e462d427b44506171301b1791b25838f0ff2992558112973d08
249.69 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:22:46 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005900584a9ffd0fcba8cf1f16e5f275578e77ef0aabe91635c3ee22d6acb998
14.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:22:26 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00100077bccbfea31650fc59c7d6826a99fa7216683d773c452cd2f4285f896a
246.56 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:22:11 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00500066ca7d7e6958692563c044cc24e3530db523bc982828de3885bb1dd39b
