Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 8:06:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 8:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
16% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 118.88
Unexplained QUAI: 640.63
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 509.46
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
4
28.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
759.5 QUAI
509.46 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 760 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 8:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (84% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (16%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
72.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net receiver
Unknown type
72.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
28.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
28.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
17.39 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate55 tx
1,370.65 QUAI • 72 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:05:28 P.M.
+1 min
14 tx
759.5 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:06:41 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:04:15 P.M.
+2 min
7 tx
181.14 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:07:53 P.M.
-3 min
50 tx
430.01 QUAI • 61 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:03:02 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
297.81 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:09:05 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:01:49 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
171.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 8:10:17 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
255.11 QI
Whale alertPersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:07:00 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
72.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x00240039169716f356e0677a4d442ea963120794dd4181c1dd68ae3295ddd599
28.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:06:50 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x006f0037e04b86e15649f4378b55783dbb8e52ddb1c06e1d1d7023893f22d140
10.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:06:37 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0060002a519c71853c4bc390d272a445970a83fab0e76001d3b66aebd132f136
6.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 8:06:37 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00260023843285831991cf084e52291103959e407e5c951714b873a8ec8d8fe7