Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 7:26:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 7:26:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 7:27:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
12% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12
Unexplained QUAI: 85.86
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 83% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
97.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001623e26dbe86dB6868f08aBD38ccd351325F4E • 0x0073Df849915F2dE7a67d3d91d802193057B68CA.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 98 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001623e26dbe86dB6868f08aBD38ccd351325F4E • 0x0073Df849915F2dE7a67d3d91d802193057B68CA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 7:26:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001623e26dbe86dB6868f08aBD38ccd351325F4E
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0073Df849915F2dE7a67d3d91d802193057B68CA
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021b6A735b006d88Ff6FA0dD5Ed4BD2C729Fc7C
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
35.3 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:25:45 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
750.48 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:24:33 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
97.86 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:26:57 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
3 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:28:09 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
566.38 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:23:20 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
392.6 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:29:23 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
754.55 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:22:08 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
5,925.32 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:20:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:26:36 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001623e26dbe86dB6868f08aBD38ccd351325F4E
To: 0x0073Df849915F2dE7a67d3d91d802193057B68CA
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:26:36 P.M.
From: 0x001623e26dbe86dB6868f08aBD38ccd351325F4E
To: 0x0073Df849915F2dE7a67d3d91d802193057B68CA
Tx: 0x0058006d9e0eb1aa3f5c17195ce79a19c3dd8a405c69fe7a40547f29b559ef0e
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:26:36 P.M.
From: 0x0021b6A735b006d88Ff6FA0dD5Ed4BD2C729Fc7C
To: StratumX miner
0x00215254D1dDdd5D90671bA981688197A2735c1f
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0048007eed9e7cdcbe64be434d7383a6606b62d943f6af320f6f3ecf0273fd64
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:26:36 P.M.
From: 0x0021b6A735b006d88Ff6FA0dD5Ed4BD2C729Fc7C
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00260033d133c43101241844ee853c179152265c00bbc162ab3b3c9da76a44d1