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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 7:24:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 7:24:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 7:25:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 784.78
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
750.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549 • 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 750 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549 • 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 7:24:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549
Net sender
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Net receiver
Unknown type
500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
137.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
137.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
60.17 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

500 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:24:25 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions
34.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:24:57 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00020008a322de9c23b27dfa8d58dbba008f8cdd20fa8c0b55cc29781c5395a9
3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:24:30 P.M.
From: 0x0021b6A735b006d88Ff6FA0dD5Ed4BD2C729Fc7C
To: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Tx: 0x0014000231708993ed526330bcc4c5a4e8388dc2fe12c50363e1729dd70fe8d1
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:24:25 P.M.
From: 0x002fFC761B468955764005a599cF656100110549
To: 0x000284FD8Df039CFF2949b62D854dc43c2Eae6E1
Tx: 0x006c0018683fb31393414b50cde540c78fb9a152c88c384e2e61eae02d5cc787
137.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:24:12 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0015000d5d10c31653feee0460ff54dbab943f25250da6aea57858507dae681d
60.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001e007c78483f0c617e7b7f2b8b530c8bc47c9aabe587ad8f68a288cd2eae95
50 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:24:05 P.M.
From: 0x000c1d93577F38C71AA5Ad096D95eB2db1bF7477
To: 0x000FBFC1ef2d25b10f43DbCb712555E55eFAca60
Tx: 0x000c00262e44e00256c45eb3b081dd57e1bfa5951c6c3839cb6c6daa9eff9420