Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 7:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 7:07:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 7:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,163.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
15
Observable rows
15
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
33
Asset volume
1,163.92 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1164 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 7:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 15 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
771.96 QUAI across 13 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
206.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
206.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Net receiver
Unknown type
199.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
185.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
52 tx
884.92 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:06:30 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate15 tx
1,163.92 QUAI • 33 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:07:43 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:05:18 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
525.99 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:08:56 P.M.
-3 min
53 tx
778.67 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:04:06 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
186.6 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:10:07 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:02:52 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
133.73 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 7:11:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
206.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
15 transactions
185.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0045001026ba0d3f00d35d2bc9e6e2d2658df26b8a4077ef9b1f163a826d1db8
206.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003600192ab8e6237060189b16ff3732e480f6a95ef579a7b8e5b99c9f9bb5b2
101.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007484C238Ec72386d0Bf94fB09F6F4Ea0296f7c
Tx: 0x003f007e3d595f3f1feac500aaa50560f18f7708731755459d8161727af79fb8
66.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00581d5A0E2Ca3def6772D488e45e87614C906A9
Tx: 0x005c00744d0c2f45ddc3675a9a7c411ec125093b7a999da4c14fc9599fa1c8e1
199.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
Tx: 0x002b001c3939d8a73cbbe4947bbeaedbad2f4b70e9a4cad5724c22eb8421f61c
156.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x004400127d83c667f7df7d66b37a335f4b3da9149db76b9fd20dec0585cb5cf2
4.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x00690016edbde9dea7870551aab7a3f437108e4640b777a70f2b6053c4606cd3
4.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006b2C5697124FFFd4F47c4C48c51e21B593cF1D
Tx: 0x001900052884ce846cfcb120c849bff6c35065dba362d559128015c37042372b
14.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x0003004016e301e46c0230f8b5a60b3dd2713fc9bc5d09804798e4ca6c19304a
22.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x0071005a99d825af52835bcdfceaeb425188274e5a822a7ef7c3c5fe17722cd6
144.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x005e007379f94fd770bb6e10181c7bf5305551d48d357746f437ed600df0339f
35.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x005a003bfe9b031fe18c668c59cb645e8ae978bc7a7f8ad6a2878b51d601b122
4.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x00380044d426f4e205671d6a51785f34430b3f450fa46c06dbb5056568452cf9
14.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0067562F5323d54c3dC97A24ed303F3717811610
Tx: 0x00290065fc9a3220774ee96f124c250fed296c388aad17e44edf2646dcfb9f16
4.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 7:07:39 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x0049005aec059da1947a92c31bf9574dce0cb717c4de5454698a8f29d2653b04
