Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:30:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:30:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:31:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
27% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 56.85
Unexplained QUAI: 157.18
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
2.9x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
214.03 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 214 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:30:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (73% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (27%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
Net sender
Unknown type
56.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
56.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
214.03 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:30:27 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
73.76 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:29:15 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
321.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:28:04 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:31:38 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,998.41 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:26:51 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
20,153.82 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:32:49 P.M.
-4 min
21 tx
17,182.39 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:25:39 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
4,348.07 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:34:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
56.85 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:30:05 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
56.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:30:05 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0034003162c87141f914571fc7648b491d4d7a3c598e8000213ec9d078da5a53