Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:22:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
83% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 132.25
Unexplained QUAI: 27.13
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
159.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 159 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
73.71 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
58.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
58.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
Net sender
Unknown type
50.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
20.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
159.38 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:22:03 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.22 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:20:51 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
132.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:23:15 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:19:39 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:24:27 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:18:28 P.M.
+4 min
21 tx
17,182.39 QUAI • 35 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:25:39 P.M.
-5 min
4 tx
267.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:17:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
58.54 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:22:19 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
2.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:22:34 P.M.
From: 0x0052F11c00efF8FadEC13860504a386E372a0897
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0008006f4deba8ebe590349924be50047025f88c1a24f3ae60925431721b5a50
50.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:22:34 P.M.
From: 0x007114Cc7beEb377eC72cd2C5717Bbf2dbf56e78
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00230039ca307afc4c3123c938fced0288ab4a1825a588db4fd0da0ee1201817
20.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:22:34 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002b0025b76a9dcd1284d9abe1814dcf92d2ceddac1d96513a333b2dea348151
58.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:22:19 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003e000e866327e0428178b4be50e063d2f34759d729655f0a9fb5293d224dca