Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:16:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
90% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 118.03
Unexplained QUAI: 12.83
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
130.86 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 131 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
71.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
71.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
46.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
46.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
130.86 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:16:04 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:14:52 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
267.66 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:17:16 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
44.46 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:13:40 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:18:28 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
111.17 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:12:28 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
1.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:19:39 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,930.99 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:11:16 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
71.24 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:16:33 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
46.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:16:33 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005a006437f9b51c9891e8aba0028a7f8328723b1d7d145d472f2f553717d5d0
71.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:16:33 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00460022e8945a28d64bfec8b78e31c9077c58b437a9f041c079ca560fae0188