Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 6:09:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:10:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23.79
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 58% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
23.79 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 24 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79 • 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
13.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
13.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000955960279BD876D0e723F6e46a0A81DDF382a
Net sender
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
10 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
22 tx
5,618.11 QUAI • 39 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:08:52 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
23.79 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:10:04 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,930.99 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:11:16 P.M.
-3 min
52 tx
1,079.64 QUAI • 73 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:06:28 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
111.17 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:12:28 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate14 tx
27,633.5 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:05:16 P.M.
-5 min
51 tx
639.03 QUAI • 59 addresses
09/18/2026, 6:04:04 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
13.79 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:09:06 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
13.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:09:06 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x004a0061e9583ed851907b9daf23cb328f89fa2a2667f254ff84a7cb9fc570bf
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 6:09:03 P.M.
From: 0x000955960279BD876D0e723F6e46a0A81DDF382a
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00710009010dea7c9d5668217cb9bb0a09829331b70edababa9e8211ef0cfdee