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Inspect spike

Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 6:08:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 6:09:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

69% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 3,900

Unexplained QUAI: 1,718.11

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume

Relative context

1.2x above local average

5.2x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

27.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

5,618.11 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 5618 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 09/18/2026, 6:08:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (31% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

3,900 QUAI across 6 visible rows

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

Net sender

Unknown type

2,893.79 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11

Net sender

Unknown type

461.56 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465

Net sender

Unknown type

209.54 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e

Net sender

Unknown type

117.11 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 3,900 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

6 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 22. The remaining 16 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Nearby active minutes

Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes

Selected minute

0 tx

0 QUAI • 10 addresses

09/18/2026, 6:07:40 P.M.

+1 min

22 tx

5,618.11 QUAI • 39 addresses

09/18/2026, 6:08:52 P.M.

-2 min

52 tx

1,079.64 QUAI • 73 addresses

09/18/2026, 6:06:28 P.M.

+2 min

2 tx

23.79 QUAI • 15 addresses

09/18/2026, 6:10:04 P.M.

-3 min

Best candidate14 tx

27,633.5 QUAI • 30 addresses

09/18/2026, 6:05:16 P.M.

+3 min

5 tx

1,930.99 QUAI • 22 addresses

09/18/2026, 6:11:16 P.M.

-4 min

51 tx

639.03 QUAI • 59 addresses

09/18/2026, 6:04:04 P.M.

+4 min

2 tx

111.17 QUAI • 16 addresses

09/18/2026, 6:12:28 P.M.

Biggest whale alert

2,893.79 QUAI

Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/18/2026, 6:08:26 P.M.

QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1

From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

6 transactions

209.54 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/18/2026, 6:08:26 P.M.

From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x001e000e12848207cb3e041b01b2ea93a57b0e02599c04b42823f0fc11d51812

Open txWallet profile

110.92 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/18/2026, 6:08:26 P.M.

From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x001a0069405d1523ba76123470ef434a7add22722024b1d5ba87da3c9af50a18

Open txWallet profile

107.09 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/18/2026, 6:08:26 P.M.

From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0035005a4b9858b6c27c876724d57b677a53fc996ee886671a242611b11e7538

Open txWallet profile

461.56 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/18/2026, 6:08:26 P.M.

From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x0055007b6d0db1a77ac2a29110ae5b184589f8e8dd23eafc5b4746fdfc7f0d9f

Open txWallet profile

117.11 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/18/2026, 6:08:26 P.M.

From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x003a001bb4259a6ef29901cbb7d09001370c43252c8f0228f52358b9c48a777a

Open txWallet profile

2,893.79 QUAI

Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale

Cyprus-1

09/18/2026, 6:08:26 P.M.

From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164

To: MEXC hot wallet

0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a

Exchange

Tx: 0x007e00563676743a2b899159b12add2872bbd844f29592af0c2376e5601ea1ae

Open txWallet profile