Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 5:42:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 5:42:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 5:43:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
52% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 126.01
Unexplained QUAI: 118.24
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 61% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
244.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 244 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 5:42:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (48% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (52%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
76.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
76.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
49.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
244.25 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:42:26 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
622.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:41:15 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
299.92 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:40:02 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
179.65 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:43:38 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:38:50 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:44:50 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:37:38 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
192.65 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:46:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
76.68 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:42:27 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
76.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:42:27 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003c00780c79bfbd5efada7990c105b823940338db6dd5d1e2cb2cb7e520115c
49.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:42:27 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0061007e6ab55d8489f58907ac36ea8b32148375d3716b5203ebd0552bf90f85