Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 5:29:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 5:29:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 5:30:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
2% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 328.2
Unexplained QUAI: 17,892.25
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
0.9x previous minute
169x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
18,220.45 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 18220 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 5:29:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
178.2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
Net sender
Unknown type
150 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
Net receiver
Unknown type
150 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
107.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
70.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
18,220.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:29:13 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,298.35 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:28:02 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
107.75 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:30:26 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:26:49 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:25:37 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
15,400.15 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:31:37 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
33.89 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:32:49 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
496.79 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:24:25 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
150 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:29:00 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
107.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:29:25 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x000c0073b6098dde1d72de73272f47321660418e1726d37c012c6e11fb9273a0
70.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:29:00 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00540062dc1e52b8ed1e369de7cee31b63e221ef378bb8b65961e49a7b2d3cdb
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:29:00 P.M.
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
Tx: 0x0054004090683bfe5a12672ad833fa8bdb19d8bd0ff163931a062385fb0cbc75