Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 5:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 5:19:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 5:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 426.15
Unexplained QUAI: 171.97
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
598.12 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6 • 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 598 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6 • 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 5:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6
Net sender
Unknown type
230 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
Net receiver
Unknown type
230 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
196.15 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
168.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
28.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
4 tx
1,125.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:18:24 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
598.12 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:19:36 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
214.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:17:12 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
169.83 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:20:48 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
354.4 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:16:01 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
526.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:22:00 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate3 tx
1,293.24 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:14:49 P.M.
+4 min
7 tx
586.35 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:23:13 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
230 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:19:18 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6
To: 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
28.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:19:39 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00150006b5de57841753b49bcdfebe3899ce8f1c5655d843b71d33be7e962172
168.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:19:18 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x001a007da12ba36c8ee9ce8d6300ec2fb496c0dd663bced6264e4f7100910e0c
230 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:19:18 P.M.
From: 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6
To: 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
Tx: 0x00710001b427ca75b0d8406d3cd78d7e9882aa6f4d61cf2b336a9dfd4e0de6ef
