Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 5:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 5:18:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 5:19:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
38% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 425.33
Unexplained QUAI: 700
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume
Relative context
1.4x above local average
5.2x previous minute
1.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
1,125.33 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98 • 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1125 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98 • 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 5:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
Net receiver
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
25.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
25.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
1,125.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:18:24 P.M.
-1 min
3 tx
214.95 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:17:12 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
354.4 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:16:01 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
598.12 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:19:36 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
1,293.24 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:14:49 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
169.83 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:20:48 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate5 tx
2,167.38 QUAI • 25 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:13:35 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
526.96 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:22:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:18:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6
To: 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:18:22 P.M.
From: 0x00085fcb33Cb798017c52135eC0D8C0A9d38CBd6
To: 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
Tx: 0x0024007e5aae487840219f4ff8cbddb8407ae57d744decc87c7ad72f0c5412c4
25.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:18:21 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0021005744f601421e647d1d53ca765025587ecb5ebe8a6dff85e8b7c3cba9d7
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:18:21 P.M.
From: 0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
To: 0x005701CF5a118A242319e093D88841E0f4318d98
Tx: 0x000b0001d151532639a72d469c15e36c4b524f303f1476f1d05c1fbbf6e2c97c