Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 5:07:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 5:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 11,384.55
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 96% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
463.48 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 463 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 5:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
10,921.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,921.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
459.73 QUAI across 10 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
172.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
159.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:06:24 P.M.
+1 min
11 tx
463.48 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:07:35 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,494.7 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:05:12 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate1 tx
10,921.07 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:08:48 P.M.
-3 min
52 tx
847.71 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:03:55 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
310.48 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:09:59 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:02:42 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 5:11:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,921.07 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
10,921.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:33 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x00427b38053EE7aFF320dEa9a0B9CC5fA4cDEB5C
Tx: 0x0047007a2ad0403d06ff22a9fd75b9872eb8511044d476d54f8b117a07a47565
6.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0066D26dE25f264196f901c5db4c4b6905A36763
Tx: 0x00050076ee08137749201a854747b4047998d67a00f53146f74419d005364500
8.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x0043003bb9e4c89f676f0573064a77803a470d5eab83cbd137107fd7e77ded05
17.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Tx: 0x006d0070f20f2c18018d8a0fbfe85a7822c884850bd860b30fbfb782c8b18e51
37.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x002c0006d1cfb107fdc13838dd59fb51968abb1787004f6070f0d1717cbd6516
13.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Tx: 0x003c0003d69b2eb8178c7aec654ac127e4b368e2408fd4bcf503778c198c5ac3
7.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x002d0052e66a9531c80e7b213f884e1b0ffd42711a6d42ec96ef0f90fa678f3c
159.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x004a003ceb66b8764d83d785c11ef074727dd85a9d53d156b668a98b5a53373a
26.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x006a00466c9f3963abbed4d58b1cb5261af731dc61d1c7a61545431622832373
172.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00480055ca7cc7b6f8832e8c660b7b9064fd5aa7a733ac5f2523dd8fdb97a955
10.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00328109A23E368e65569034d3143E68eF99f8eD
Tx: 0x00130049ba47c3db405d7e43e96422d38b25a1497e09a2d73a46efd3185c9989
3.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 5:07:02 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x003900195aeda00b27403dcb103dd374a0feb58408cd75df7ca50811b6baa603
