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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 4:40:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 4:40:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 4:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 308.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
210.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 211 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 4:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
208.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
110.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
97.94 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

110.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:40:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
97.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:40:51 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00740047a99b22c47146669c811e10c1fd009e28adeb5fb723d6541f73614e48
110.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:40:35 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x005e000a367699098da0e1e5cf98128cfab053b222bfceb638e44716ac95e955
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:40:10 P.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Tx: 0x001c0011756070c2b6f27ccbefc241b7d1cfb6de93acbe9c837520f51b55b5be