Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 4:40:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 4:40:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 4:41:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 308.57
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
210.63 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 211 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 4:40:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
208.57 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
110.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Net receiver
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
97.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
20,023.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:39:42 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
145.33 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:38:30 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
210.63 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:40:53 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
97.94 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:42:05 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
31.22 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:37:19 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
95.77 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:43:16 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
74,450.2 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:36:07 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 4:44:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
110.63 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:40:35 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
97.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:40:51 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00740047a99b22c47146669c811e10c1fd009e28adeb5fb723d6541f73614e48
110.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:40:35 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x005e000a367699098da0e1e5cf98128cfab053b222bfceb638e44716ac95e955
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 4:40:10 P.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Tx: 0x001c0011756070c2b6f27ccbefc241b7d1cfb6de93acbe9c837520f51b55b5be
