Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 3:38:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 3:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,137.87
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
118.87 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 119 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 3:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,999 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x005890aA69eC304b7ab6513917Cae50F5e461168
Net sender
Unknown type
2,020 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002b77ddC14E8F10087B932cf496876c948c424c
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
71.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,999 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
73.43 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:37:35 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
118.87 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:38:47 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
136.95 QUAI • 2 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:36:24 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate4 tx
7,071.08 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:39:59 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
113.91 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:35:13 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:41:10 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
5,027.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:34:01 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:42:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:38:54 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
2,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:38:54 P.M.
From: 0x005890aA69eC304b7ab6513917Cae50F5e461168
To: 0x002b77ddC14E8F10087B932cf496876c948c424c
Tx: 0x00060001420ec5977371a88a3b2a7288a21f530c53766ac2857f67776a3a7b7b
20 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:38:54 P.M.
From: 0x005890aA69eC304b7ab6513917Cae50F5e461168
To: 0x006d0067e3a5FFF1E38975d03B664780E3723103
Tx: 0x0076003d02ee5a3b791bf7593ff088289de8ea98b799cda887f01fdc091afdb3
4,999 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:38:54 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0034001ffc1d1a6f9107671f764c0bba6d3ffd25013913eee585968de398ff71
47.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:38:07 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x00110079d7e68ed3642978b68df8db85a24f46b2baf9b7d4cf5a6a9fd1747b13
71.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:38:07 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005d001475fcedd52ac0b32d5d8e1f22d1397d05c0c9dd125e4110fae50bf2a6