Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 3:23:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 3:24:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
18% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,729.06
Unexplained QUAI: 57,214.02
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 14% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.1x previous minute
2.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
31
Observable rows
10
32.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
44
Asset volume
69,943.08 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 69943 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 3:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (82% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (18%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
12,631.35 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Net sender
Unknown type
1,810.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0024Ef44119C8130BB018D737dCaFe5608dbD681
Net sender
Unknown type
1,770.76 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002148a9FeA8C67341113D663A3aECEc171e0408
Net sender
Unknown type
1,679.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,576.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 12,631.35 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
31 tx
69,943.08 QUAI • 44 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:23:15 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate13 tx
596,373.58 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:22:03 P.M.
+1 min
24 tx
28,271.88 QUAI • 45 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:24:28 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
215.16 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:20:51 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:19:38 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
5,165.07 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:25:40 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
1,032.22 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:26:52 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:18:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,810.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
49.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:26 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0032007afaf8a9fc84aef1be2255bb1eafeb17d17c294fc274cf5a45ef83ab5d
1,444.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:26 P.M.
From: 0x0046cE23158d83E846ba7A0CC6C322851F85Fa48
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0008006b5598dcae0f9d5e583ab4142a00ad7c6c7b8273f859080f346fdf3605
1,455.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:26 P.M.
From: 0x002E825b4AC890AD61FdaA2205CF518E501f5deE
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00480000bdc1c0c3660f8a9298211ec9c471383d3e980faafdfbde33f84f03b3
1,356.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:26 P.M.
From: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007500152c177b62e595c4c1318033ce766ce02395740bbebbb6d13c15a78988
48.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:09 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002800180801593af50037d465ed6bf03cb5b3965cd94606392f48b12d6e68fa
1,810.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:09 P.M.
From: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0011001127016721b8a29b28225ced69f0f992d2d22564fce48abb1da16da079
1,770.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:09 P.M.
From: 0x0024Ef44119C8130BB018D737dCaFe5608dbD681
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00500023f9367ddd22ddf2154a9bb3f0eda73a9fa09f6e05d3adc0f85ccbb4c4
1,679.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:09 P.M.
From: 0x002148a9FeA8C67341113D663A3aECEc171e0408
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c001976985f4f61ae38820ec776049ffd8c35e8465b0d0086519d4f5ea71f
1,537.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:09 P.M.
From: Kryptex miner
0x004F62fFC8a66f549Df1FA3079e8A1508006c20B
Miner wallet
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f00126fd8199af79f1d7298299d850cec4859c3fc591fae3453adca45fc03
1,576.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:23:09 P.M.
From: 0x00323970A6d1ee5999ba0cF7f3c39a7ad26f96e6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b0078f45548c0271396b3b54dbecb82545298712f51ab2174615d2b5dee87