Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 3:05:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 3:06:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 474.18
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 35% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
83.09 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 83 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
474.18 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
163.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
140.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
113.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Net receiver
Unknown type
23.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
83.09 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:05:20 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate51 tx
831.89 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:04:09 P.M.
-2 min
51 tx
829.22 QUAI • 62 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:02:55 P.M.
+2 min
8 tx
474.18 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:06:32 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:01:43 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
91.04 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:07:44 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:00:32 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
57.91 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/18/2026, 3:08:55 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
163.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
14.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00425268e6F93AC858EE576892E6739A0B23153a
Tx: 0x0028007b7aacbb7a9b0a6a06b2c47fa96f1a186d2d5c78c6a7dcc391b4bd3326
163.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x004100075550caa21aba7a87402ae387097ad889977b8b1d6a2a4cc1daf45915
4.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x007C8DE1bE082D62C6dA8cD95B6B9347d9A20dCA
Tx: 0x0058002176c96e4977aa98b69a74b32aa488ed766408cc5d5ca1d753aa65c984
23.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x005c003c59bd2966730ef3b3dc37afc8ced7e56b0aafab04ae51f1cae55cf58c
113.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x0025001d1c4203ed4ed9ab0b7a67e5ccc2d4350491c6ccaf6d7eda5f72a45b34
140.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x0075004d4268bbd03494c80e148997f8bbe2260e00f4d112e6a2a99f7167563d
7.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00189e3467216c936DdE87AC1e18d2eD62794322
Tx: 0x002b00020de32c74c0ff6aa4a6325df289d09876bf73e70eddba2c18d10e3d1f
6.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 3:05:41 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005581090aB83408A97aa15376EC84Fb3dbdEa45
Tx: 0x00520053bc2b0868e4dc76b047fbc8a62b3153de95becfa99e29ab58e2c99d23