Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:35:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:35:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:36:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 306.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
64.51 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED • 0x0001d2955Df299E748fdaD2c145886168a689677.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 65 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED • 0x0001d2955Df299E748fdaD2c145886168a689677.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:35:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001d2955Df299E748fdaD2c145886168a689677
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
106.68 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
63.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
Net sender
Unknown type
42.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
5,645.1 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:34:18 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
64.51 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:35:30 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
250.16 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:33:06 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
439.59 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:36:41 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
234.35 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:31:55 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
130.19 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:37:53 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
56.02 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:30:44 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:39:05 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:35:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
To: 0x0001d2955Df299E748fdaD2c145886168a689677
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
42.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:35:31 P.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x007e0079baf1337ddf6d00d773644815a811cf4c8969d4999a93933b235b8add
63.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:35:31 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001e002dbbb544d33e119763c1400a3a3f0b414e90bef806cc32bc9dba768246
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:35:31 P.M.
From: 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
To: 0x0001d2955Df299E748fdaD2c145886168a689677
Tx: 0x006c000621b490d6ccc6056d602d86862fff5cac9543fb104942983e9a15c0ba