Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:25:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:26:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 213.94
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
101.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 101 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877 • 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:25:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
164.21 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
112.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
Net sender
Unknown type
51.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
47.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
47.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
125.74 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:24:46 P.M.
-1 min
5 tx
227.27 QUAI • 19 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:23:35 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
101.26 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:25:57 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
112.68 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:27:10 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
50 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:22:23 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
238.85 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:28:21 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:21:12 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,904.44 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:20:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
112.68 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:25:59 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
112.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:25:59 P.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x000f005ef4735cb7ac4a021f6e92dc1eef8e420db7ef373f390f351b4402e9c3
51.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:25:12 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x003c0045779c59c8b36a1825d98bb991d5420963ca4bd7f321029d0975b4873c
47.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:25:12 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x002600042793922f027702bc86ed8cbc5aff62639c32b25cde591fbd64960b21
2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:25:12 P.M.
From: 0x004d39b85017F53e6051751d7B44308F7ABEc639
To: 0x002387a292Fdead06eB95899e317Dd7Eb26253b2
Tx: 0x0030002db33cd5d2837356e553741982d03f27ab294d5cc9b9b8b81e30876f82