Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:13:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 152.69
Unexplained QUAI: 150.73
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
3.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
303.42 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 303 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
Net sender
Unknown type
152.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
152.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
78.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:12:42 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
85.82 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:11:30 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
303.42 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:13:54 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:15:15 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate3 tx
4,000,105.59 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:10:19 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
206.03 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:16:27 P.M.
-4 min
5 tx
1,587.4 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:09:07 P.M.
-5 min
11 tx
2,000,565.86 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:07:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
152.69 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:13:21 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
152.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:13:21 P.M.
From: 0x00374FD6D10461B3D50a616173a3fE16eCd5B44c
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0012002d1f35f62aa21ff5a7e67dbdab4bbaebeb7b4e65e9f4a45805b478cef6