Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 2:06:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 2:07:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 326.16
Unexplained QUAI: 1,357.42
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
2.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
52
Observable rows
4
7.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
63
Asset volume
1,683.57 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 1684 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE • 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 2:06:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
157.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
157.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
83.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
83.93 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
78.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
424.99 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:05:32 P.M.
+1 min
52 tx
1,683.57 QUAI • 63 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:06:44 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
656.53 QUAI • 65 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:04:20 P.M.
+2 min
11 tx
2,000,565.86 QUAI • 31 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:07:56 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:03:07 P.M.
+3 min
5 tx
1,587.4 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:09:07 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
69.75 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:01:56 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
4,000,105.59 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 2:10:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
157.14 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
78.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:51 P.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Tx: 0x004d005866ef2c7833c2ea06749b14b2d58563f0015393b3770d4ffab66ec0ec
157.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:51 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x001f003beae4cca0bac613b5d1de5c9c7e72e5622b77a71974f3463c250d4210
83.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:51 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x0048003b7b41711ded5cc941b32228ce754ade0fa4cc684111246fa63191a754
6.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 2:06:51 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0039002aac2d094ad865f570ad435f2cfe88a102d46853f69d562f272f2350c6