Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 1:23:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 1:23:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 1:24:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 454.9
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D • 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 1:23:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
Net sender
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Net receiver
Unknown type
250 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007DeB29AA691206241FBD121c8b50FBcbF1865e
Net receiver
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
Net sender
Unknown type
3.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
284.07 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:22:34 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:23:45 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
56.29 QUAI • 9 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:21:22 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
454.9 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:24:58 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
250 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:20:11 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:26:10 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
250 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:19:00 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
704.17 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:27:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
250 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:23:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:23:45 P.M.
From: 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
To: 0x007DeB29AA691206241FBD121c8b50FBcbF1865e
Tx: 0x0028003d2118727d20b03da113994afcd28aab4338249fe3689ea841ca1e95cc
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:23:45 P.M.
From: 0x004c9A114Ee5ee5708968fDa20a7F0d7a18E7c1B
To: 0x002F42C7EF750b79C090E48b30AC02330c8aD3e7
Tx: 0x0059004408d8179c41fbb1698d3ce51413da9d5d6a7b1e8eff422caf57975f62
250 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:23:45 P.M.
From: 0x006a476416597fccE611546edb04D9275523a13D
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x001100725730e63e2b674216b67c3d36827ab0b2b13cb3c471e8e2b96cd18724
3.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:23:45 P.M.
From: 0x002F091677EfB69cA85F15551592764A575C3AeA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00440065a6c3acc93dc83bc69e620a732b4282fb1ecddeb8183061b108b57780