Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 1:07:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 1:07:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 1:08:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,550.71
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
16
Observable rows
16
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF • 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF • 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 1:07:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 16 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
541.31 QUAI across 14 visible rows
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
139.26 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
128.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:07:01 P.M.
-1 min
57 tx
3,953.89 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:05:48 P.M.
+1 min
16 tx
1,550.71 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:08:13 P.M.
-2 min
3 tx
2,281.34 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:04:35 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate5 tx
21,354.8 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:09:26 P.M.
-4 min
52 tx
7,086.16 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:03:24 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
159.7 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:10:37 P.M.
-5 min
3 tx
20,121.17 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:02:11 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
All transfers in this selected minute
16 transactions
9.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x000d001d0f3f2a27cec9b08441126b43556acb0d8512f872f2e889e68cb8fecc
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x003b000dbbf74cd72deba937adbfa9ff98bd1fd16c77937cfda3e5eb4a856c89
15.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0030160076D0a37f5d411369C84B674B6A69c45d
Tx: 0x005f004fc975abd078eddc7621fa1e428007f3a6ce95d6ce5cccc9725a76c569
9.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00307b9d6B5323F0EEdECa238BC1723cc3CE08D3
Tx: 0x00520064425715ab5cb107987d02ac4bc8c2e312f0d1f76ec8d6ae216a2d2d7b
128.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x00530069d0ba1899b8a1146aafbc3281203d11a6b9e412d378bfba0d49b584dc
14.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x007b003046fccedd97d59e2241cb15e072454c38e8a26b2c26679a65ac9681ef
49.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00582DEB29A1B7E478ddFA5AdD91baC405b0AA2A
Tx: 0x00120005d0a279960a2f43c4ae67cd0b625aeec89c238196b19b74ea43356975
110.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x00150052ced6a34167e621d425de0a9bf375ca7c49e1fd13d0a02464fdc73a95
6.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x00630052dc03b2994fa3f7717e09740c1d398bfc91e1da221003870e14332008
20.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0012BF2C8A60ac40572824fD2F575e7CAAE7af95
Tx: 0x007a004ddb41f914e301e090979e3ea9687a7a0f6273a75d98671228b5627918
5.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0055F4bDaC95E394DcbB8DF8c4A87291629E967a
Tx: 0x0042007f9ff1f8342f16ff5b85496655640d691a8d7c5fd4b6b7c6ec4819c3be
4.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0041047fb41Fbb3952b197F81aaCF0661BEAab75
Tx: 0x0066007b0e9aa06560aba75ba3878ce8172b35e0e4bf6be57e8a520e2c7bd6d1
22.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00279256e95b8C8A4C5C925b15519E506F369126
Tx: 0x003600644ba8f2bb53ca8fd9e1e1f76da4a7f0a9a9301b067487a19665af039b
7.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005eF5d5DC3ebF571BFAe01D957034dBE629A8E7
Tx: 0x0072001feea8f2f2ae850d75302badba10868157d09c1a861d45dc5228517c37
139.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00640054472e416c972cff649541bf7fd80d44f444924e9cc05e95dd1e7ef751
7.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:07:03 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005581090aB83408A97aa15376EC84Fb3dbdEa45
Tx: 0x00190064733f4661988a60802edcca84b14a7c352814720a6a6cd69f2ab117e7
