Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 1:05:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 1:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
34% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,345.24
Unexplained QUAI: 2,608.66
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
57
Observable rows
4
7.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
70
Asset volume
3,953.89 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF • 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 3954 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF • 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 1:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (66% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (34%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
338.45 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
196.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
Net sender
Unknown type
142 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
2,281.34 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:04:35 P.M.
+1 min
57 tx
3,953.89 QUAI • 70 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:05:48 P.M.
-2 min
52 tx
7,086.16 QUAI • 68 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:03:24 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:07:01 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
20,121.17 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:02:11 P.M.
+3 min
16 tx
1,550.71 QUAI • 34 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:08:13 P.M.
-4 min
3 tx
2,671.4 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:01:00 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
21,354.8 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 1:09:26 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:05:31 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
142 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:05:40 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00070065809fb5e9b36994d5dd19fd1e5c52968b89f3691e443ae6ffa40c6c2a
6.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:05:31 P.M.
From: 0x0054d2c34b3E070B22d97817750cBD21a5775b67
To: 0x00664427b3C44679b5F52649bB39e920065e135b
Tx: 0x0000000fa57f6e7c85f11db32d10648f3281cf088860116a90a911b8e1c0810b
196.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:05:31 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x00110009b8f221e2322cb1285a0bd8b7392fe55745f764bdf83f63e7e61906d2
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 1:05:31 P.M.
From: 0x00398cc899162887fAc3E15896a93977374035EF
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x000a00065c8777f47ecf577ae3b9443b87a20e5e15455db129de065a48270747