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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 12:49:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 12:49:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 12:50:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

77% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 1,300

Unexplained QUAI: 397.58

Explained QI: 473.48

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume

Relative context

1.3x above local average

1.5x previous minute

1.3x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

66.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

1,697.58 QUAI

473.48 QI

Avg confidence

77.0%

Dominant source: etx-type

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x007DeB29AA691206241FBD121c8b50FBcbF1865e.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 1698 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21 • 0x007DeB29AA691206241FBD121c8b50FBcbF1865e.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: etx-type

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source etx-type

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 09/18/2026, 12:49:00 P.M.

Coverage gap moderate (23% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21

Net sender

Unknown type

700 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007DeB29AA691206241FBD121c8b50FBcbF1865e

Net receiver

Unknown type

700 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004F7f5038beF235ce570D6145a04B7a4Ab7a08f

Net sender

Unknown type

600 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000C890Ba0aaE9B69EBFf8fAd1303391a9954917

Net receiver

Unknown type

600 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

473.49 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 473.48 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 6. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.