Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 12:20:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,131.02
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 481.88
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
481.88 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004AE3864754A440F015D43d2eB7F5085c518b02 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004AE3864754A440F015D43d2eB7F5085c518b02 • 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004AE3864754A440F015D43d2eB7F5085c518b02
Net sender
Unknown type
2,936.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,936.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
481.89 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
481.89 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
Net sender
Unknown type
155.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 481.88 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,936.47 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:20:12 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
2,671.75 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:19:01 P.M.
+1 min
6 tx
3,131.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:21:24 P.M.
-2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:17:47 P.M.
-3 min
3 tx
221.76 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:16:35 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
76.39 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:22:35 P.M.
+4 min
6 tx
68.67 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:23:47 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate11 tx
90,258 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:15:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,936.47 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:20:41 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004AE3864754A440F015D43d2eB7F5085c518b02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
239.9 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:20:55 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0074000fb2943821360e082169fa88f8ba223615702c74ef9a4d24681701ae52
241.97 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:20:47 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0079001a77d635266dd68942f787706b0b47bcef4c33600a7b744423367a73a7
155.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:20:41 P.M.
From: 0x00790A8A273Fc05820818eFBADc78da09d591c7d
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x002b0045742d8c2f5ecf4fcf113fe871debe7958390f04c118588f7c53d7983b
38.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:20:41 P.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00610069ac07d59f7eb6d2f90ace2cf7d91e6f2fe6f58d2e3c593c11a674c41b
2,936.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:20:41 P.M.
From: 0x004AE3864754A440F015D43d2eB7F5085c518b02
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003a00114681013978d3fe639b552a46750c6137295e16a6f5ddd352619d43c3