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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 12:12:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 12:13:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
99% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 20,280.92
Unexplained QUAI: 260.6
Explained QI: 757.65
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
8
80.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
20,541.53 QUAI
757.65 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + medium confidence + 20542 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 53
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 12:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
757.66 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
757.66 QI across 3 visible rows
0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
Net sender
Unknown type
153.23 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 757.65 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

8 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 10. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.16 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:28 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

8 transactions
250.22 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:51 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0059004366cec49d914e72a070ef152092a16aba31d386ccc2a12789c69fe150
153.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:28 P.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x005a0016a1b4bde517ce88c56c7ea93c68919de82db5a0761ddd6046aede11ce
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:28 P.M.
From: 0x0040B0dba3022A529b3344bD470A460E2AfD1aED
To: 0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Tx: 0x005f000217b01c470af2d5de10d462518ff4728b539968d603f4b9a9f3d005aa
14.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:28 P.M.
From: 0x00066741f695e71E8745E667645044989d5C7Af1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001a001d3ffb74fe23e41a9f00313502fa233ff71ffb6b0c93bfae527ca49389
Open txWallet profile
14.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:28 P.M.
From: 0x00233D0676F3f67302cffF9D9aB9291Eb3dc7883
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c000784487e9d58be0588a474c6b6f5a2176c5811d6dd4ff4d13aa7e5cc5e
Open txWallet profile
19,999.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:28 P.M.
From: 0x004e7A848a2F6A878da5F2985D64f1F61198bD0b
To: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Tx: 0x007b0012fe39d323729338966f94e8d3f6fc2c7db19f7a1a9e52b95ec7b40e8c
Open txWallet profile
252.8 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:17 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0077005ec7b8e3ee201905df3d34a12d1e2434b9ef7cbc5d7c06c8c911f33579
254.63 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:12:10 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0066007bde5dec13e2861a7518b5124fc53b90a36dd5ebc90dead49ebf72cb8b