Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 12:08:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 12:09:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 817.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 500.7
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 49% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
160.55 QUAI
500.7 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 161 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 12:08:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
417.4 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
Net sender
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Net receiver
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
106.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
105.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 417.4 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
160.55 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:08:11 P.M.
-1 min
14 tx
1,813.07 QUAI • 30 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:07:00 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
817.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:09:23 P.M.
-2 min
10 tx
2,906.36 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:05:47 P.M.
-3 min
59 tx
1,495.67 QUAI • 75 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:04:35 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
69,000 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:10:35 P.M.
+4 min
5 tx
137.78 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:11:47 P.M.
-5 min
55 tx
779.82 QUAI • 66 addresses
09/18/2026, 12:03:23 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
400 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:08:42 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
400 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:08:42 P.M.
From: 0x000c67cd9Ab426EB7297ce9d2232AF75fCE6279e
To: 0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Tx: 0x00040058cdc217f86af39b7b5868f2d0277e5fc274971817c85d581a9e127d02
106.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:08:27 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00110045eb6eff71b9434a85d77a6565f969df495802e83cddaf5694b438f552
104.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:08:27 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00150021e9fcf074178709024eb99bee96272d189277ea5fc01e23d99a37f459
105.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:08:27 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00000014a3b82d2eed8b7f1d9df276f1436c407f5734eeaf94e6bbf16f3e9402
100.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:08:27 P.M.
From: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00500026e58fe34aca9b9ab14be45e82eb349b43691c512c53e83ea2d51cc70f