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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 12:05:00 P.M. to 09/18/2026, 12:06:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
66% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,906.36
Unexplained QUAI: 1,000
Explained QI: 713.26
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
3.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
9
90.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
2,906.36 QUAI
713.26 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 2906 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 12:05:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (34% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (distribution).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,392.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
1,200 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
713.27 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
713.27 QI across 3 visible rows
0x001d31F5f44DE4f33cF5B2d83f3767497a3e2Dfe
Net sender
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 713.26 QI
0x001d31F5f44DE4f33cF5B2d83f3767497a3e2Dfe → 0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
2 repeated flows • 400 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

9 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 10. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

1,200 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:40 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e

All transfers in this selected minute

9 transactions
49.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:40 P.M.
From: 0x00752239b55ca5D2e722Fa2f5b4Dc76E9dF3db9E
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00630002d146b371802fae46c4ad58f87042f111d8d188fbb606dd397d2f40bb
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:40 P.M.
From: 0x001d31F5f44DE4f33cF5B2d83f3767497a3e2Dfe
To: 0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Tx: 0x0037000e9cf2c24045ef68bbf212b73c8af323ec45e675db5d2ed35967f93e5b
1,200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:40 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x005200152ade29c88b953ecadee0f4e02f634071da84867d5d50fabb3983c137
232.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:36 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00520072c4ea5a0985f7cbd53ba6bd93e6577d833fac6e42e49be22319e454ec
232.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:36 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0056001bda1d6c5ba0cc3f6d68d904b12cdc8311eb9cfca24f49eb96929c57e3
247.49 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:02 P.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0069004a3097a705341feae3d735a31c3e3c6ad709045f06f00d9c7df8d9dcdc
192.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:02 P.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0078002d7a0e90502e1d3b62b2ab99f03c7b3b9a3b2f0dcdc8ec7c9d2d8445b7
64.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:02 P.M.
From: 0x006576A80291829C0404F17D225d189045674F1D
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x004b00512095d0a6dd55dead9b2e9a9fccd7d984564291cf1c72984006d5d382
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 12:05:02 P.M.
From: 0x001d31F5f44DE4f33cF5B2d83f3767497a3e2Dfe
To: 0x00220d638d185d5fF007ec2cF95aFE8F6568e16C
Tx: 0x006e0019c9d1ca5e7787ca3478803a25fa52083f95afb2e2d5466031ec1ca78d