Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 11:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 11:38:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 11:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,416.61
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 507.58
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 78% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
0 QUAI
507.58 QI
Avg confidence
70.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 11:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
6,265.77 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,999.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
1,266.55 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
507.58 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
507.58 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 507.58 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 6,265.77 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:38:10 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:36:58 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
6,416.61 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:39:21 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:35:47 A.M.
-3 min
9 tx
15,439.07 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:34:35 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
250 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:40:33 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
162.67 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:41:45 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate4 tx
20,099.15 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:33:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,999.23 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:38:56 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
255.07 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:38:56 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0054002442e07f32519951e7798447ca93811db6fec2e1eac1558a0fe5bb8763
4,999.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:38:56 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a000df767ba2ed94ce9a6971a065a26dd51f1e11db3811df2171adf8fb948
1,266.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:38:56 A.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007d0046fb3b5ad3b7a70d68c978c88844347ba99e4714b9eb7dc1911dffffaa
252.5 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:38:31 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0005007ce424ef1ced2a584e0c84b7117761b84ceeeb48f3a8b8ba004657ea44
54.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:38:28 A.M.
From: 0x005679FC95ee7eA46D81D91eE6c59A9344a4AC11
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0064007020ad57dcc9c6790a51eafce59f5e3d063638f626a27beffe2e21651b
40.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:38:28 A.M.
From: 0x001c039f068f7EE0A76fd8A089493c6A2bced7FD
To: 0x00537a0527b7fAeBdB12BFFcD2481125Fb1A3ee7
Tx: 0x0023001fd0308080db9e7aa38403ac2a4e3c3c9e0dce48f2228ce05647d5dfdd
55.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 11:38:28 A.M.
From: 0x005dbdAC8b21DA4bbfdd2396F9267a634485Db66
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x003d001c1722d8ef0584d4602ce6a44d4d5b9e114272ff904fe68692a38ae45a