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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 11:06:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 11:07:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 1,029.33

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 464.32

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 47% of explained volume

Relative context

0.9x above local average

8.4x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

95.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

1,029.33 QUAI

464.32 QI

Avg confidence

64.7%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 1029 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda.

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 22 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/18/2026, 11:06:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 22 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da

Net sender

Unknown type

537.73 QUAI across 18 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002AAB0e61189b063A0293Fa4BbA5FDDC8917fda

Net sender

Unknown type

485 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002117281F4EC5EFdB96f595f71842944192D371

Net receiver

Unknown type

485 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000

Net sender

Unknown type

464.32 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

Net receiver

Unknown type

464.32 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2

2 repeated flows • 464.32 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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22 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 23. The remaining 1 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.