Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:59:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 11:00:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
49% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 650
Unexplained QUAI: 667.64
Explained QI: 448.16
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
1,317.64 QUAI
448.16 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 1318 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Net receiver
Unknown type
650 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
448.16 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
448.16 QI across 2 visible rows
0x005D8614be84319CA0F1ac2A2A603429f50E26A8
Net sender
Unknown type
400 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
150 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 448.16 QI
0x005D8614be84319CA0F1ac2A2A603429f50E26A8 → 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
2 repeated flows • 400 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:58:31 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
1,317.64 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:59:42 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate12 tx
16,471.67 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:57:19 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
776.2 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:00:53 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
3,700 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:56:07 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
375.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:02:06 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
400 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:54:55 A.M.
+4 min
52 tx
2,101.74 QUAI • 54 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:03:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
224.08 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:44 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:55 A.M.
From: 0x005D8614be84319CA0F1ac2A2A603429f50E26A8
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x003d007830a92093250f7fc81815a7e51bd1eb3aad7a733d4b298b404efc580a
224.08 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:44 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007e0056e825bba97302cf87a473fc3d940cc61465c81e2b23aece05fbf70731
224.08 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:44 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001e0067aaaf0391cb5ee0f6698deb690715ae3522d24c999c7a8f2847fc7976
150 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:44 A.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x0032006bd5932e324eeb5237e8a2ee29c433827d7fe8b6ebdade22b522fe7fa7
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:44 A.M.
From: 0x005D8614be84319CA0F1ac2A2A603429f50E26A8
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x0048004461f22dd1acb724c2af75dabad6d9544389d21de28e97b1ff3370020a
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:59:44 A.M.
From: 0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x00150074e2d98f76f13465af0398a544a3db6a0c94ab134391e4797530ff5978