Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:58:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,317.64
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 240.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 76% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
0 QUAI
240.94 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1 • 0x003964D53b88Ba4AfAdc36D7bBF347961Ea5b438.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1 • 0x003964D53b88Ba4AfAdc36D7bBF347961Ea5b438.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,100 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003964D53b88Ba4AfAdc36D7bBF347961Ea5b438
Net sender
Unknown type
1,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
Net sender
Unknown type
168.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
168.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295
Net sender
Unknown type
100 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate12 tx
16,471.67 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:57:19 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:58:31 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
3,700 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:56:07 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
1,317.64 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:59:42 A.M.
-3 min
5 tx
400 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:54:55 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
776.2 QUAI • 24 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:00:53 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
5,610 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:53:43 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
375.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 11:02:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:58:39 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x003964D53b88Ba4AfAdc36D7bBF347961Ea5b438
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
168.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:58:39 A.M.
From: 0x0062C7a3aC251EEA521F8e89AC6E4A74D34Ec051
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x00200006ce75f5a7b3eb3d5af674e9c04f6e3e505c1ba1c88150d5898abd4599
49.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:58:39 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x004a5F89bbf4625B783D643B0394148A80B6E877
Tx: 0x00530019387130911a4bd6aaf36854e36178db61198092b28cb0e5b4592f2af4
1,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:58:39 A.M.
From: 0x003964D53b88Ba4AfAdc36D7bBF347961Ea5b438
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x0051001aaa29f8369ea1538ee297bbb7de2e6bd1a4e3c10169dcbbc9039ea5e1
100 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:58:39 A.M.
From: 0x006C33a004C4F305758d50DC7f9Af561dF760295
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x0000001e6264a1c3629057af8e06131eac45e9da64ebfcfec5c7d3f6acdf0170