Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:56:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 16,420.08
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 942.12
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
9.3x previous minute
0.2x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
3,700 QUAI
942.12 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3700 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
14,989.75 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net sender
Unknown type
6,785.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
3,391.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
2,718.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
2,093.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
4 repeated flows • 942.12 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 14,989.75 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
3,700 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:56:07 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
400 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:54:55 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
16,471.67 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:57:19 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
5,610 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:53:43 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
27,521.84 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:52:32 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:58:31 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
1,317.64 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:59:42 A.M.
-5 min
7 tx
1,125.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:51:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
6,785.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
226.27 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:52 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0013000810b3f24000f428c09b1f72c6fb2b4cb885a166b140c6eecf8cfe026e
226.27 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:52 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00240055fab63169c981ee08d19aba6182d4cd67ea54278c8eab1a1541487e65
165.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x0064ee78ef1634cAF9a4DD337Ec80c0Ff1045061
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x00190046794bcdefb48abc451cda7584300c639a91b554a1cb987a4619416f93
165.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x002b6c6BD946D78307824A7a73DF2207d6B9928e
Tx: 0x0008006bee532fb2f417ec76207529e738945a954c041464e9086802baee6006
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x002b5F9b76bA593A0b96055aD0554Fb6C6287781
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x00290023f057f05298ca133847e2c6cb302caf4dd5df9449decaba23fee88d16
3,391.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d0069eb9fe5d7b7df372f61561f66d78e60af86738680e56e03a81ceac83d
6,785.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c0027cb442add0025836b96ba6bae0ab551f6cb50969f137948c58363f913
2,093.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d005d2d5053b30c61165adcea96e5052d834af103162d609c9405a2ab21e3
2,718.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00350043bc8a5b3e59d187c27a8b618243a6af165e11f14930e8298e65bcaaf4
900 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:38 A.M.
From: 0x0003ea9DaF38DA18AD3951f5E07F258F4544Ba11
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x0040000898f283eb698fe5facccd416e0e0d865f939a8ed278c05e1d2ef4afd6
243.37 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:19 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004a000f738398b36748314522ed42b196e1211b82d96d7146be128ced0302d8
246.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:56:01 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0054006428f03f0a9d07884bf95a7e3b9324b5d4dcc88dbd611071f17df1d512