Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:55:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:55:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:56:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,700
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 449.77
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 95% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
6
Asset volume
3,700 QUAI
449.77 QI
Avg confidence
77.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31 • 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3700 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31 • 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:55:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31
Net sender
Unknown type
3,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,500 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
449.77 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
449.77 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
Net sender
Unknown type
200 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 449.77 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
400 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:54:55 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
5,610 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:53:43 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
3,700 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:56:07 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate7 tx
27,521.84 QUAI • 17 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:52:32 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
16,471.67 QUAI • 28 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:57:19 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
1,125.56 QUAI • 23 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:51:20 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:58:31 A.M.
+5 min
4 tx
1,317.64 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:59:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,500 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:55:41 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
200 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:55:54 A.M.
From: 0x0078dad5CEA8B6204b2f9035D6805838b83527f7
To: 0x0005A0b0dC1FF95154Cd37E2c35B6695422f9F45
Tx: 0x004f00509658d5fddc5c429021524fe29182fb2cd328070647586b4ec3220543
224.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:55:41 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0053004d396b43728e13aaef915f79fb6b9236bd9fafdd93dbce4710251a899a
224.88 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:55:41 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00220064ce3494bc2b293059ba59018d95ea200ca7581c118d7e60a903f5c60e
3,500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:55:41 A.M.
From: 0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31
To: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1
Tx: 0x004c001470e06c8550dccaceb68409728e9ff4cf4bffe5c86bc6eefbcadaf35a