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Spike bucket

09/18/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 09/18/2026, 10:53:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:54:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 5,610

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Explained QI: 0

Unexplained QI: 444.02

Facts

Pattern: Mixed spike

Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume

Relative context

0.8x above local average

5.0x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.

One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

5,610 QUAI

444.02 QI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1 • 0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31.

Dominant behavior: distribution

distribution + medium confidence + 5610 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1 • 0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31.

No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:53:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (distribution).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0048519073B96bB5FFa1BE7F8eedB7e5D590f0e1

Net receiver

Unknown type

3,600 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x007aF3609bd06F933596Fa7375C9Ec13a02A9C31

Net sender

Unknown type

3,500 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6

Net sender

Unknown type

2,010 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00031B3bAB81Dc2CE40AE7aF79111d8CC0Dac55E

Net receiver

Unknown type

2,010 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x004d5d14929Ef1540c93B99fE6d9727D467cFc21

Net sender

Unknown type

100 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

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3 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 5. The remaining 2 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.