Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:23:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
20% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 80.35
Unexplained QUAI: 312.6
Explained QI: 241.11
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
11x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
3
27.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
392.95 QUAI
241.11 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 393 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
241.11 QI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
241.11 QI across 1 visible row
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
79.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
79.35 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:22:38 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
392.95 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:23:50 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
35.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:21:27 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
80.35 QUAI • 21 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:25:03 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:20:15 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:26:15 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:19:04 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate2 tx
22,454.33 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:27:26 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
241.11 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:23:15 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
79.35 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:23:57 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x001c0054ee48cec8ceb85ca05537551ceb1af0327288540b0efc55faa71a1b6e
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:23:57 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x000e0066c11cbc8b68ca005e61265566a9aa56951c6ac8606e4347a581a57aaa
241.11 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:23:15 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0077007da76fa9541ae9bdfa6d049da01b80255ab94aedf626bafe56210dd517