Spike bucket
09/18/2026, 10:20:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 09/18/2026, 10:20:00 A.M. to 09/18/2026, 10:21:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35.46
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 469.13
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
0 QUAI
469.13 QI
Avg confidence
74.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 0 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 09/18/2026, 10:20:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
469.13 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
469.13 QI across 2 visible rows
0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
Net sender
Unknown type
33.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Net receiver
Unknown type
33.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
2 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 469.13 QI
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 2 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:20:15 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:19:04 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
35.46 QUAI • 18 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:21:27 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
388.34 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:17:52 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
375.42 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:16:40 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:22:38 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate11 tx
392.95 QUAI • 27 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:23:50 A.M.
-5 min
9 tx
173.65 QUAI • 20 addresses
09/18/2026, 10:15:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
238.37 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikePersisted Alert
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:21:00 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:20:59 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x001000236aa9395551dd9b391d75faf58ee84613aaea1eef2a73aa424e614407
33.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:20:53 A.M.
From: 0x002D61B41fE3c140AcE8Ad51A4cca7fa48a3cBdE
To: 0x006432Ea8c46cBF981f6e710d2439C941CeBe2d0
Tx: 0x0021006a555f70340c963c6312a338a25fae9ce558fe4d5f5af7b1d1bb707c23
235.18 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:20:41 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000d001982c52f5a40fdcaa07e3559a8e382f5f40c44e4256da4960127a13f87
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:20:40 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00040063f1ce2e186fa91d1c3d10fceea64dd6dc3d18ee5f0f2fa81a111cf752
233.94 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
09/18/2026, 10:20:02 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004f007551c4f3defe585f7d739088ed28508b116346d7ac8d9939d15fd8d334